Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.996519 1.124224 1.263759 1.427814 1.615770 1.824785 2.075386
2025-01-05 0.783858 0.951946 1.151133 1.405725 1.724123 2.111277 2.620904
2025-01-12 0.671263 0.855410 1.085585 1.396640 1.809389 2.342958 3.092519
2025-01-19 0.571024 0.755686 0.996422 1.336509 1.809801 2.452848 3.405838
2025-01-26 0.522476 0.715077 0.975783 1.359106 1.916173 2.708362 3.942008
2025-02-02 0.484430 0.683096 0.961176 1.384996 2.025525 2.975101 4.522864
2025-02-09 0.448298 0.649196 0.938958 1.395101 2.109412 3.209389 5.079275
2025-02-16 0.416529 0.618003 0.916670 1.401037 2.184909 3.435529 5.647151
2025-02-23 0.393876 0.597989 0.908560 1.426772 2.292377 3.721578 6.348301
2025-03-02 0.360315 0.557949 0.865486 1.391437 2.294500 3.830988 6.752489
2025-03-09 0.343969 0.543568 0.861435 1.419113 2.404511 4.134642 7.544356
2025-03-16 0.321033 0.516500 0.834226 1.404450 2.438168 4.305123 8.105644
2025-03-23 0.304985 0.499966 0.823778 1.418983 2.527639 4.590998 8.939609
2025-03-30 0.284531 0.474427 0.796001 1.400122 2.553699 4.760920 9.564832
2025-04-06 0.267678 0.453711 0.774741 1.390765 2.595961 4.965449 10.289016
2025-04-13 0.244684 0.420494 0.728746 1.330943 2.533611 4.953539 10.540635
2025-04-20 0.235795 0.411800 0.726184 1.353433 2.636944 5.291420 11.622393
2025-04-27 0.228009 0.404484 0.725467 1.379204 2.749220 5.660406 12.831270
2025-05-04 0.218723 0.393686 0.717325 1.389262 2.829271 5.968267 13.940300
2025-05-11 0.209607 0.382548 0.707641 1.395170 2.900717 6.264692 15.066380
2025-05-18 0.203443 0.376601 0.707521 1.420786 3.017855 6.678976 16.560462
2025-05-25 0.190894 0.357407 0.679872 1.385615 2.994530 6.760310 17.185225
2025-06-01 0.185951 0.352874 0.681258 1.413162 3.118005 7.209222 18.887067